arXiv:2605.08200v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: A pervasive intuition holds that vision-language models (VLMs) are most trustworthy when their attention maps look sharp: concentrated attention on the queried region should imply a confident, calibrated answer. We test this Attention-Confidence Assumption directly. We instrument three open-weight VLM families (LLaVA-1.5, PaliGemma, Qwen2-VL; 3-7B parameters) with a unified mechanistic pipeline — the VLM Reliability Probe (VRP) — that compares attention structure, generation dynamics, and hidden-state geometry against a single correctness label. Three results emerge. (i) Attention structure is a near-zero predictor of correctness (R_pb(C_k,y)=0.001, 95% CI [-0.034,0.036]; R_pb(H_s,y)=-0.012, [-0.047,0.024] on a pooled n=3,090 split), even though attention remains causally necessary for feature extraction (top-30% patch masking drops accuracy by 8.2-11.3 pp, p<0.001). (ii) Reliability becomes legible later in the computation: a single hidden-state linear probe reaches AUROC>0.95 on POPE for two of three families, and self-consistency at K=10 is the strongest behavioral predictor we measure at 10x inference cost (R_pb=0.43). (iii) Causal neuron-level ablations expose a sharp architectural split with direct monitor-design implications: late-fusion LLaVA concentrates reliability in a fragile late bottleneck (-8.3 pp object-identification accuracy after top-5 probe-neuron ablation), whereas early-fusion PaliGemma and Qwen2-VL distribute it widely and absorb destruction of ~50% of their peak-layer hidden dimension with <=1 pp degradation. The takeaway is narrow but consequential: in 3-7B VLMs, reliability is read more reliably off hidden-state geometry, layer-wise margin formation, and sparse late-layer circuits than off attention-map sharpness.

arXiv:2605.08220v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The automated extraction of data from scientific charts is a critical task for large-scale literature analysis. While multimodal Large Language Models (LLMs) show promise, their accuracy on non-standardized charts remains a challenge. This raises a key research question: what is the most effective strategy to improve model performance (high-level semantic priming) or low-level spatial priming? This paper presents a comparative investigation into these two distinct strategies. We describe our exploratory experiments with semantic methods, such as a two-stage metadata-first framework and Chain-of-Thought, which failed to produce a statistically significant improvement. In contrast, we present a simple but highly effective spatial priming method: overlaying a coordinate grid onto the chart image before analysis. Our quantitative experiment on a synthetic dataset demonstrates that this grid-based approach provides a statistically significant reduction in data extraction error (SMAPE reduced from 25.5% to 19.5%, p < 0.05) compared to a baseline. We conclude that for the current generation of multimodal models, providing explicit spatial context is a more effective and reliable strategy than high-level semantic guidance for this class of tasks.

arXiv:2605.08360v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Modern AI is opening the door to collective decision-making in which participants express their views as free-form text rather than voting on a fixed set of candidates. A natural idea is to embed these opinions in a vector space so that the substantial literature on facility location problems and fair clustering can be brought to bear. But standard text embeddings measure semantic similarity, whereas distances in facility location problems and fair clustering require what we call textit{preferential similarity}: a participant’s agreement with a piece of text should be inversely related to their distance from it. Off-the-shelf embeddings inherit a coarse preference signal through a correlation between semantic and preferential similarity, but fail to capture preferences when the correlation breaks. We formalize this as an invariance problem: text embedding models encode both a preference-relevant signal (stance and values) and semantic nuisance (style and wording), and the two are observationally correlated, so a geometry that relies on nuisance can appear preference-correct even when it is not. We show that synthetic training data designed to break this correlation provably shifts the optimal scorer away from nuisance-dominated cosine and significantly improves preference prediction across 11 online deliberation datasets.

arXiv:2605.08354v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Aligning multimodal generative models with human preferences demands reward signals that respect the compositional, multi-dimensional structure of human judgment. Prevailing RLHF approaches reduce this structure to scalar or pairwise labels, collapsing nuanced preferences into opaque parametric proxies and exposing vulnerabilities to reward hacking. While recent Rubrics-as-Reward (RaR) methods attempt to recover this structure through explicit criteria, generating rubrics that are simultaneously reliable, scalable, and data-efficient remains an open problem. We introduce Auto-Rubric as Reward (ARR), a framework that reframes reward modeling from implicit weight optimization to explicit, criteria-based decomposition. Before any pairwise comparison, ARR externalizes a VLM’s internalized preference knowledge as prompt-specific rubrics, translating holistic intent into independently verifiable quality dimensions. This conversion of implicit preference structure into inspectable, interpretable constraints substantially suppresses evaluation biases including positional bias, enabling both zero-shot deployment and few-shot conditioning on minimal supervision. To extend these gains into generative training, we propose Rubric Policy Optimization (RPO), which distills ARR’s structured multi-dimensional evaluation into a robust binary reward, replacing opaque scalar regression with rubric-conditioned preference decisions that stabilize policy gradients. On text-to-image generation and image editing benchmarks, ARR-RPO outperforms pairwise reward models and VLM judges, demonstrating that explicitly externalizing implicit preference knowledge into structured rubrics achieves more reliable, data-efficient multimodal alignment, revealing that the bottleneck is the absence of a factorized interface, not a deficit of knowledge.

arXiv:2605.08368v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Debates about large language model post-training often treat supervised fine-tuning (SFT) as imitation and reinforcement learning (RL) as discovery. But this distinction is too coarse. What matters is whether a training procedure increases the probability of behaviors the pretrained model could already produce, or whether it changes what the model can practically reach. We argue that post-training research should distinguish between capability elicitation and capability creation. We make this distinction operational by introducing the notion of accessible support: the set of behaviors that a model can practically produce under finite budgets. Post-training that reweights behaviors within this support is capability elicitation; whereas changing the support itself corresponds to capability creation. We develop this argument through a free-energy view of post-training. SFT and RL can both be seen as reweighting a pretrained reference distribution, only with different external signals. Demonstration signals define low-energy behavior for SFT, and reward signals define low-energy behavior for RL. When the update remains close to the base model, the main effect is local reweighting, not capability creation. Within this framework, the central question is no longer whether post-training is framed as SFT or RL, but whether it reweights behaviors already within reach, or instead expands the model’s reachable behavioral space through search, interaction, tool use, or the incorporation of new information.