How Far Did They Go? The Persuasive Tactics of Covert LLM Agents in a Discontinued Field Experiment

arXiv:2606.05256v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This study analyzes a publicly released dataset from a discontinued field experiment on Reddit’s r/ChangeMyView. The intervention, conducted by unknown, external researchers and halted following ethical backlash, involved undisclosed AI-generated accounts engaging users in live debate. After public disclosure, Reddit authorized moderators to release an archive of the AI-generated comments, creating a rare opportunity to examine how large language models operated in an identity-rich deliberative forum without disclosure. We conduct a structured content analysis of this corpus, evaluating identity performance, authority signaling, alignment strategies, and activation of cognitive heuristics. Identity targeting or adoption appears in over two-thirds of comments, alignment moves and authority claims in nearly all of them, and cognitive-bias triggers — particularly confirmation bias, representativeness, and availability — in the large majority. These patterns co-occur systematically, composing a rhetorical architecture calibrated for persuasive efficiency rather than authentic deliberative participation. Compared against human-authored CMV counter-arguments, the agents inverted the typical distribution on every dimension: denser authority use, more adversarial alignment, and heavier reliance on external citation over experiential grounding. In such environments, distinctions between authentic and synthetic epistemic standing grow increasingly opaque — an asymmetry that disclosure mandates alone cannot address. The results point toward auditing frameworks capable of assessing how AI systems structure credibility, not merely whether they are present.
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What Should Agents Say? Action-state Communication for Efficient Multi-Agent Systems

arXiv:2606.05304v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Multi-agent systems (MAS) built on large language models are typically organized around roles, pipelines, and turn schedules, while the content that agents pass to one another is often left as unconstrained natural language. However, this free-form communication can rapidly inflate token usage, consume the shared context window, and ultimately affect both system performance and inference cost. We analyze five common inter-agent communication strategies across two MAS topologies, finding that no fixed strategy is universally optimal. Instead, effective inter-agent messages consistently preserve action-centered information needed by downstream agents. Building on this, we propose the PACT (Protocolized Action-state Communication and Transmission), which treats inter-agent communication as a public state-update problem and projects each raw agent output into a compact action-state record before it enters shared history. Across different MAS topologies, PACT consistently improves the performance-cost trade-off, achieving comparable or stronger task performance with substantially fewer tokens. The gains extend to production coding harnesses: PACT lifts OpenHands’ resolve rate at -10% tokens-per-resolved, and is resolve-neutral on SWE-agent while halving input tokens. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/iNLP-Lab/PACT.
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I Know What You Meme, Even If it Emerged Today: Understanding Evolving Memes through Open-World Knowledge Acquisition

arXiv:2606.05316v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Multimodal memes are dynamic and often require up to date background knowledge for interpretation. Existing methods often overlook such knowledge or rely on fixed parametric knowledge of pretrained models that may be incomplete, outdated, or unavailable for emerging memes. We introduce Query Retrieve Conclude, a zero shot framework that identifies missing knowledge, retrieves open web evidence, and synthesizes evidence grounded background knowledge for meme understanding and detection. We also introduce a curated meme understanding benchmark of recent memes from 2024 to 2026 with external background knowledge annotations. Experiments on three meme understanding datasets and five meme detection tasks show that our framework improves knowledge recovery, meme understanding and downstream detection over zero shot baselines.
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GITCO: Gated Inference-Time Context Optimization in TSFMs

arXiv:2606.05332v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Patch-based Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) suffer from context poisoning: structurally anomalous patches capture disproportionate attention and silently degrade zero-shot forecast quality. We propose improving TSFM accuracy at inference time by optimizing the input context rather than modifying model weights. We present GITCO (Gated Inference-Time Context Optimization), a lightweight three-component framework: Gate, Router, and Critic that selectively identifies and suppresses harmful patches without any parameter updates. Evaluated on TimesFM 2.5 across 53 GIFT-Eval datasets under K-fold cross-validation, GITCO achieves an average +1.95% MASE reduction on TimesFM 2.5 while capturing 89.9% of the improvement upper bound. We introduce context sensitivity profiles as a new characterizable property of TSFMs: the mapping from time series meta-features to expected accuracy improvement under inference-time context intervention, shaped jointly by model architecture and the statistical structure of the data.
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Uncertainty Aware Functional Behavior Prediction and Material Fatigue Assessment for Circular Factory

arXiv:2606.05334v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Returned products in circular factories re-enter production with heterogeneous degradation states, usage histories, and remaining capability. Reuse cannot be decided from the current inspection alone, because future function fulfillment and component integrity may evolve differently under the next service scenario. Existing PHM approaches support degradation prediction, but often target fixed operating conditions or isolated component benchmarks, while material-fatigue assessment is rarely linked to system-level functional prognosis. This paper addresses this gap for an angle grinder by combining uncertainty-aware functional prediction with component-level fatigue assessment in an instance-specific reliability workflow. The proposed framework combines the current tool state with recent force–torque usage windows. A convolutional encoder extracts loading patterns from spindle forces and shaft torque, and an LSTM backbone predicts nine functional variables as Gaussian mean and variance estimates. In parallel, the same loading history is translated into output-shaft fatigue information through finite-element-supported stress reconstruction, S–N/Miner damage evaluation with Haibach extension, and Paris-law crack-growth analysis. A streaming replay algorithm consolidates both branches into functional, material, and system reliability trajectories. Held-out tests show mean (2%)-tolerance accuracy of 0.9652 across nine outputs. Thermal variables are predicted near-perfectly, while drive motor current and load speed remain the most demanding dynamic outputs, with (R^2) values of 0.9750 and 0.9924. Torque history is especially important for these variables, and the conventional LSTM outperforms GRU and xLSTM in the short-history setting. Reliability calibration is most informative for drive motor current, where predicted and observed exceedance probabilities …
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